For more information:

American Geophysical Union: Predicting El Niņo with the help of a wind trigger

Geophysical Research Letters: ENSO prediction using an ENSO trigger and a proxy for western equatorial Pacific warm pool movement

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Discovering a trigger for El Nino

Perhaps the greatest influence on modern weather is the equatorial climate disruption called El Nino. Now Florida scientists say they've discovered what triggers El Nino, and say their knowledge will allow for much earlier and more accurate predictions of what kind of weather lies ahead. Oceanographer Allan Clarke found the answer to the west of where El Nino forms...

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Details of El Nino's trigger

Florida scientists have advanced the study of El Nino--the periodic climate disruption that's responsible for heavy rains in the southern US as well as dramatic weather changes elsewhere. Oceanographer Allan Clarke led the study that found a trigger for El Nino: late-year winds in the western Pacific...

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Benefits of better forecasting

Florida scientists are leading the way to better forecasting of the climate disruption called El Nino, credited in the Southern United States, with increased rainfall and devastating floods. Oceanographer Allan Clarke has helped uncover a trigger for El Nino, which may help predict the event, months earlier than present models...

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Simpler El Nino predictions

New research from Florida Scientists may lead not only to earlier predictions of El Nino weather patterns --including the heavy rainfall we see in the southern US--but also to easier predictions of the weather anomaly. Oceanographer Allan Clarke led the study of winds in the western Pacific that he says trigger El Nino...

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El Nino's continued mystery

Florida scientists have made a discovery that they say can predict El Nino weather events up to six months earlier than present methods. El Nino--the weather disturbance responsible for months of heavy rain and flooding in the southern US--apparently gets its start from wind in the western Pacific. Oceanographer Allan Clarke says that new information makes for easier predictions...